BUSINESS TRENDS PUBLICATIONS

1. Business Trends Library Briefings

2. Summary Scenarios from the Business Trends Library

3. Area Publications of the Business Trends Library

4. Area Publications Available On-line

5. Orders

Planning & Control Investments Limited

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The Business Trends Library Training & Consultancy

1. BUSINESS TRENDS LIBRARY BRIEFINGS

On line - free

The Business Trends Library issues commentaries on current events, discussing the trends underlying them. Current topics include the issues which are causing the great economic chaos at the present time.

To Register to receive BTL Briefings Email giving your Company name & address, your name and appointment with your Company Email.

Published by Planning & Control Investments Ltd.

Return of Inflation increases the tax on firms. Keeping Accounts in Nation State currencies which shrink in purchasing power causes profits to be over stated and produces over size tax demands. This effect works on every item in a Balance Sheet - and causes for example more working capital to be found just to keep going. Nation State currencies are supposed to be based on valuable metal coinage, but all have found ways round this and have long spent the gold and siiver. Some however still produce these valuable metal coinages which they sell to investors. Companies need an Accounting Unit which maintains its Purchasing Power to produce accurate accounts, and using Gold coinages is both ways of improving this accuracy and to challenge the Tribute Extractors.

Will firms fail over Climate Change? Oscillations in the climate occur naturally in the Inter Glacial Warm Period of the Ice Ages which we are now in. These oscillations do not lead to a cause from Industrial Revolutions. There was a Mini Ice Age when Galileo discovered Sun Spots in 1600AD - and its more likely that the rise in temperature since then is a recovery from an unusual cold spell. And Sun Spot number was very small when first discovered and they have risen since. It is more likely that temperatures will go on rising back to a previous high - it was warmer in Roman times than now. There is nothing man can do about such oscillations. Man's prosperity is due to the Energy Revolution - and bringing prosperity to the 3rd World is dependent on it - there is ample evidence they are going to use the most economic energy sources. The majority of US people do not agree with Climate Change Issues - and oscillating US Governments for and against can be expected - each anti government will take the US out of Climate Targets which will stall. Meddling with the Energy Revolution is dangerous. Propaganda to firms on what they must make is apparent - as is voter reaction there to. Survey through the Business Areas indicate problems firms may face.

Trickle of Banking Failures has occurred which may herald another Banking Crisis. A Model of processes in such a Crisis is given based on 1930s, 1980s & 2008. By the time there is a trickle of failures in different parts of the World, the processes are advanced. The problem this time is the rise in inflation causing a rise in interest rates. Banks have used the Stock Market loans raised by companies & governments as a source of their lending opportunities. But with the rise in interest rates the traded value of these Stocks has fallen. Banks needing to sell to meet depositor withdrawals can only do so at a loss - part of the problem in the Crisis Model.

Plagues - Governments tried to curb the 'flue spreading by confining people to their homes, and closing many businesses. Historical Analysis finds it already has been learnt in a similar 'flue Plague in WW1 that confined spaces are the most dangerous of all. Out of Doors is where people need to be if possible. Plague Life Cycles involve human contact with the Plague so our bodies develop defences. Question then is where is it safest to get this contact - answer for 'flue is also Out of Doors. In Door - Out Door Scenarios... Advanced Countries' high Central Heating may support 'flue virus survival giving the high US deaths - conversely China's may not - with no second wave infections into 2021. This is because 'flue likes dry conditions (cold virus likes damp conditions with Relative Humidity above 40%). As room temperatures rise with increased Central Heating as Economic Level rises, Relative Humidity declines so supporting the 'flue virus survival. Developments through 2022 are charted, with widespread shortages, rising inflation over 12%, union action likely to produce leapfrogging inflation. Scenarios consider Nation State Governments as a threat to the Business Environment - including again act of aggression. How may especially large businesses react to these threats?

A summary of each of the 10 Areas of the Business Trends Library. Valuable introduction - or a second opinion if you have done your own study. Quick assessment for a multi-division business of the impact of the environment on the firm.

Gives main Scenarios of growth and contraction in each Area in the Advanced Countries, and their relationship with the rest of the World. Includes major opportunities and problems likely to be encountered.

Movement of basic manufacturing out of the Advanced Countries is a recurring theme - where the manufacturing is going to - and the role of Multi National Corporations.

Published by Planning & Control Investments Ltd, £16,750. See Orders Section 6.

If any of the revealed Scenarios are a Surprise or important to the firm, it will need to obtain the relevant Sectors to understand how they arise, and the impacts involved.

The Areas available on-line are given in the next section (4).

• COMMUNICATIONS - INFORMATION COMMUNICATIONS - TRANSPORT
• FOOD PRODUCTION
• CONSTRUCTION
• ENERGY
• MANUFACTURING - materials components equipment consumer
• DISTRIBUTION

• COMMERCE - savings, banking, insurance, markets

• SERVICES

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Planning & Control Investments Limited

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The Business Trends Library Planning Training & Consultancy