A sector on Plagues was added to the Business Trends Library during the 2020 Plague of 'flue.
Governments generally attempted to curb the 'flue spreading by confining people to their home as
much as possible, and ordering many business to close. Historical Analysis found it had already
been learnt in a similar 'flue Plague in WW1 that confined spaces are the most dangerous of all.
Outside or Out of Doors is where people need to be as much as possible. The life cycle of Plagues
involve the humans having contact with the Plague so their bodies develop defences to it. The
question then becomes where is it safest to get this contact - and the answer for 'flue is also
Outside or Out of Doors.
Advanced Countries' high Central Heating may support 'flue virus survival giving the high US
deaths - conversely China's may not - with no second wave infections into 2021.
See Business Trends Library Briefings.
For a Prospectus, send details of your firm, or Areas wanted to:
1. THE TEN AREAS OF THE BUSINESS TRENDS LIBRARY
The Business Trends Library is constructed from 10 Major Areas:
The links give the Contents of the Area.
2. SECTORS OF THE BUSINESS TRENDS LIBRARY
Each Area is made up of a number of Sectors - each
a fundamental activity of man with a long history. The above links show an Area's Sectors.
All the Sectors can be seen here.
Historical Analysis identifies long term trends in each Sector. Interaction of these trends within different Sectors of the Library is the key to future Scenarios ( Dr Richard Whaley, Futures 16 p269-76, June 1985). The pattern of such Impacts of major trends between the ten Areas is shown below.
Sectors selected for a firm thus contain relevant impacts from the whole Library.
People doing Business Environment Assessment generally do not look
wide enough to identify things which will affect them. More Surprises are revealed
the more comprehensive the database from which the Scenarios are drawn.
To order a Prospectus, see Orders (Section 4).
Dr R H G Whaley to order:
- Prospectus for Scenarios from the Business Trends Library.
- Pick your own selection of Scenarios from the Business Trends Library.
INDEX TO OTHER PAGES
Business Trends Publications - BTL Briefings, Summary Scenarios, On-line Areas.